Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 89.738500 100.066202 110.603676 122.128911 134.349763 146.893427 160.712898
2025-02-23 73.650408 88.517352 104.333640 122.290112 141.992712 162.843999 186.471076
2025-03-02 63.652703 81.009791 100.059117 122.268490 147.214489 174.153576 205.232776
2025-03-09 56.399973 75.567697 97.188253 122.970677 152.493722 184.896734 222.810977
2025-03-16 49.392516 69.642615 93.100693 121.675391 154.979647 192.068355 236.007922
2025-03-23 45.130387 66.544895 91.927494 123.401259 160.618437 202.550879 252.718410
2025-03-30 41.656262 64.077826 91.227434 125.439637 166.418046 213.061607 269.339826
2025-04-06 37.277962 60.103827 88.394975 124.663307 168.691203 219.334239 280.965632
2025-04-13 32.573721 55.330441 84.260722 122.029108 168.520490 222.572853 288.925910
2025-04-20 31.181189 54.860257 85.473927 125.913600 176.136215 234.920794 307.472949
2025-04-27 29.320738 53.594715 85.548264 128.283633 181.846829 244.975581 323.317735
2025-05-04 26.394526 50.610734 83.204643 127.452305 183.519059 250.136008 333.336287
2025-05-11 23.575259 47.603464 80.715552 126.366497 184.856414 254.920246 342.982787
2025-05-18 21.713155 45.877391 79.859707 127.323314 188.696652 262.705726 356.207517
2025-05-25 19.660922 43.691383 78.243648 127.178360 191.068639 268.649252 367.186631
2025-06-01 18.063634 42.089877 77.349941 127.916460 194.506882 275.861162 379.673076
2025-06-08 16.003300 39.556683 74.996998 126.587014 195.214497 279.654510 387.983569
2025-06-15 14.974028 38.662771 74.957911 128.354895 199.889182 288.339353 402.232583
2025-06-22 14.106334 37.975095 75.174977 130.441988 204.961204 297.514324 417.088676
2025-06-29 12.587538 35.993547 73.364776 129.647126 206.210411 301.881125 426.041422
2025-07-06 10.768635 33.262751 70.276865 126.949661 204.863681 302.922796 430.856865
2025-07-13 10.560872 33.588065 71.905517 130.927260 212.379514 315.154044 449.491522
2025-07-20 10.036544 33.243598 72.457543 133.353537 217.822711 324.769015 464.909024